Nfl Football Picks Against The Spread Computer
Easily the most popular type of betting for NFL football is “spread” betting or more commonly known as betting against the spread. Bettors who are new to NFL betting or betting in general may be a little confused with NFL spread betting, but it is pretty easy to understand once it is explained to you. We will explain what betting against the spread means below.
What is Betting Against The Spread?
For each NFL game the oddsmakers set a number of points in which the favored team is favored by. Bettors can then either choose for the favored team to win by more than the number of points set, or bet on the underdogs to lose by less than the number of points they are underdogs by or win the game straight up. For example, the spread could be set on the favored team at 6.5 points. This would mean in order for a bet on the favored team on the spread to win they would need to win by more than 6.5 points (7 or more) in order to win the bet. It also means that a bet on the underdog team would win if the underdogs lost by less than 6.5 points (6 or less) or won the game outright.
Example of NFL Spread Bet
Below is an example of what NFL spread betting would look like:
Matchup
NFL Expert Picks - Super Bowl Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 Wild Card Divisional Round Conference. There’s almost an infinite way to bet on the NFL, from NFL picks against the spread, over unders, parlays, prop bets, daily fantasy sports, or even scoreboard squares, there is a wager type for every kind of football fan. Free NFL Football picks against the spread from the UltimateCapper staff. Previews, predictions, and articles updated daily throughout the NFL Football season. Daily free NFL picks, tips, predictions and game analysis from expert handicappers. Live Betting odds, lines and daily game day trends cover every pro football game. All of the 2021 Super Bowl odds are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best 2021 NFL picks now. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago.
- TeamsSpread
- Dallas Cowboys -2.5
- New York Giants +2-5
The negative (-) sign indicates that the Cowboys are the favorites, while the positive (+) sign indicates that the New York Giants are the underdogs. With the spread set at 2.5 points, a bet on the Cowboys would mean that they would have to win by more than 2.5 points (3 or more) in order for you to win that bet. A bet on New York would mean that the Giants would have to either lose by 2.5 or less points (2 or less) or win the game outright in order for your bet to win.
Here is another example with a screenshot taken from 5Dimes.eu during Week 3 of the 2013 NFL season:
Here you can see that the Rams are +3.5, while the Cowboys are -3.5. So for this example the Cowboys are 3.5 point favorites, while the Rams are underdogs of 3.5 points. If you were to bet on St Louis you would need them to lose by 3 or fewer points or just win the game outright. If you were to bet on Dallas you would need the Cowboys to win by 4 or more points.
If the Cowboys were to win by 3 points, lets say 30-27, any bets on the Rams +3.5 would win. Even though the Rams didn’t win the game they covered the spread of 3.5 points.
Nfl Expert Picks Against Spread
Now if the Cowboys were to win by 4 points, lets say 31-27, the Cowboys have covered the spread and anyone who wagered on Dallas would win their bets.
Other NFL Spread Betting Information
You may often notice that the spread is sometimes set at an even number such as 3, 6 , 10, etc. In this case if the favored team won by the exact amount set for the spread the bet would be pushed, and all bets would be returned. For example, if the Patriots were 3 point favorites and they won by a FG (3 points) than this would results in a push, meaning no matter which side you bet on you would get your money returned to you.
The most common NFL spreads are usually set between about 2.5-10.5 points, but you will also almost always have games each week with spreads lower than 2.5 and higher than 10.5. In the event that the oddsmakers feel the game doesn’t need a spread, it would be set at 0 or what some call a pick’em (both teams are given even odds to win for this type of bet).
The odds given on the spread are usually -110 unless otherwise noted. It is not uncommon to see one side of the spread being -105, with the other side being -115. If you don’t see any odds listed for each side of NFL spreads you are supposed to assume the odds are -110 on each. Not sure how to read NFL betting odds? Check out our Sports Betting Odds guide.
Now that you know the basics of NFL spread betting you’ll want to check out our Sports Betting Strategy guide which has some great NFL strategy articles written by a professional bettor.
Each week we enter information into our stats database which crunshes them and spits out final score predictions. These figures should be used as a guide, not solely to base your picks on! Expect these to be posted on the site by late Friday each week during the NFL football season. Enjoy!
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Super Bowl LV
Tampa Bay Bucs 28.7
Kansas City Chiefs 25.9
Did you know… that we also offer free weekly college football computer picks? Check’em out! They’re a GREAT handicapping tool for determining which over/unders are good bets!
As noted above, these predictions are compiled by a computer. There is a heck of a lot more to handicapping NFL games than a bunch of averages produced by technology.
Proper football handicapping should consist of taking numerous variables into consideration such as injuries (especially to key positions on an offensive line/defensive secondary), situational variables (teams playing on a short week, coming off a bye or horrible travel conditions, etc), how a team has been playing lately, coaching and more.
The point we’re trying to make here is that one should not rely on these picks as the sole source/reason for placing a bet. Please use the above numbers as a GUIDE to help bolster your decision to bet on or against a team.
With all that being said, these stats do have some merit when it comes to helping pick totals (over/unders). Especially with the weekly college football computer picks that we put out, which can of course be found in our NCAA football section.
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